Monday, 14 September 2009

No Mr. Bond, I expect you to buy.

I'm back! And I've been thinking. Never a good idea, but it's what happens on holiday when you leave your Blackberry at home (I make a point of leaving my Blackberry at home.)

I was reading Risk on the plane to Slovenia. It's good. There's a section on how Advertising influences people and - as so often - the outsider's view of our industry is one of machiavellian psychological techniques influencing an unsuspecting population.

Anyone who's worked in an agency for a month knows it's not like that. We're not that clever and we haven't got the time to be machiavellian. You need serious thinking time to become an effective Bond villain (bet they have really long holidays.) Most of the time, we're just happy to hit deadlines.


And so to the thinking. Why aren't we using the latest sophisticated psychological techniques in our efforts to sell ever more things? Marketing postgrads learn about them and then leave them at the door when they start work in an agency (there are two sat next to me right now testifying that this is true.) Psychological manipulation works when it's used, so why isn't marketing the domain of the psychologist? With those who don't understand and apply the lastest research left by the wayside?

To understand, we can go back to basic economics. Not supply and demand, or price - more basic than that. What are peoples' incentives? This is what Freakonomics does (repeatedly) to solve what look like complex problems. Why would schoolteachers cheat? How come most drug dealers are poor?

Why aren't most marketing campaigns cleverer?

It's because we don't really know how effective they are. Not often anyway. There's no objective measure of whether your most recent campaign was any good at selling product. Research can tell you if people liked it and econometrics can average the effectiveness of lots of campaigns. Nobody can tell you definitively whether this latest campaign is more effective than the last one unless it's absolutely brilliant.

So for marketing agencies, what's the incentive? The goal is to win business and they can't do it by proving they've made an effective ad. They win pitches by making ads that marketing directors like. And by convincing marketing directors that they've made an ad that will work.

Marketing directors aren't psychologists either, usually, and the ads they like may or may not be effective.

So we end up with agencies full of salesmen, trying to persuade marketing directors that the ads they've made will work. And these select few marketing directors aren't incentivised to buy an ad that will actually be effective either - because it can't be measured. They need an ad that will impress the CEO and he's definitely not up to the minute on the latest psychological research.

Back in the working world after a couple of weeks out and I'm thinking that we're probably less evil than the non-marketing world suspects. And we're much worse at doing what we actually set out to do...

Friday, 28 August 2009

No more posts for a fortnight

Cheerio all, I'm off on holiday.

Going here, to do this.


Marketing analysis is fun, but it's only a way of getting to do what you really want. See you in a couple of weeks.

Thursday, 27 August 2009

You lot really don't like SAS

I've been off on holiday and not posting for a bit, so it was interesting to have a look at what content on this blog has been generating traffic while I've been away.

Not lots of traffic obviously... it's a blog about data and marketing.

The verdict is in and you're most likely to find this site on Google because you hate SAS. This post unanimously wins the SEO award for most traffic.

My top 10 Google organic terms for the last couple of weeks were:

1. wallpapering fog data
2. open source sas replacement
3. sas replacement
4. wallpapering fog
5. sas in trouble
6. +"sas replacement"
7. +sas +replacement
8. +sas +software +horrible
9. chrigel maurer bbc
10. data monkey blog neil charles

Can we all just go and buy download r now?

Wednesday, 26 August 2009

Most misleading. Headline. Ever.

Eight in ten people use Twitter for business purposes says the IAB. Lets face it, that's not even slightly plausible.

Reading the article, you find that the Kamaron Institute surveyed three hundred Twitter users, so it should read eight in ten Twitter users.

That's probably about right, when you consider that Twitter is rapidly turning into a tool for the marketing industry to talk to itself and for spammers to talk to the marketing industry.

The IAB has written some guidelines, for brands wanting to use Twitter too.

But I prefer these: http://www.howtousetwitterformarketingandpr.com/

Wednesday, 12 August 2009

The trough of disillusionment

I like this a lot. (From Gartner, found via The Times)

Superficially, it's similar to a chart that I had a massive pop at a couple of weeks ago. I really like this one though, because it's not pretending to be something that it isn't.

That and the names are brilliant. 'Peak of inflated expectations' and 'Trough of disillusionment' conjure up images of a crazy treasure map a la Monkey Island.


You could draw one with the same names and shape for client relationships, from pitch through inflated expectations, almost losing the business and then a few years later actually starting to get good at it. If they haven't fired you by then...

Thursday, 6 August 2009

Nice, very nice

Rory Sutherland tweeted this, so no doubt you've seen it. But I'm claiming it anyway.

Please watch it Fullscreen from Morten Halvorsen on Vimeo.

Monday, 3 August 2009

Learning from Lawyers

Everybody's talking about Storytelling. Our agency's talking about it too.

Anecdote is an Australian agency, centred around storytelling, where I found this excellent article for lawyers on how to make a good closing argument.


Remember how this one ends?

There's a lot here for everybody on how to make a persuasive argument. See if the AT&T example reminds you of any research presentations.